The 10-day lunar flyby mission is scheduled to end with a splashdown in the Pacific Ocean Friday evening.
Users of prediction market platform Karsi are using the platform’s event contracts to bet on the aftermath of NASA’s Artemis II mission, the first manned mission to the moon in more than 50 years.
As of Friday, several event contracts related to the moon landing were available on the Calci and Polimarket platforms, but many users were taking a position on what would be said at NASA’s press conference after splashdown.
Since the event contract costs just over $4,000, Calsi users expect NASA officials to say the words “president,” “prime minister,” “radiation,” and “damage” in reference to moon exploration.
The Artemis II mission’s Orion spacecraft launched from Florida on April 1, completed a flyby of the moon with a crew of four, and is scheduled to return to Earth on Saturday at approximately 12:07 a.m. UTC. NASA’s mission follows Artemis 1, which orbited the moon in an unmanned spacecraft in 2022, and precedes plans to land on the moon in 2028.
The use of positions in event contracts in prediction markets is controversial, as platforms like Polymarket allow users to bet on the outcome of events related to the US-Israel war against Iran. Some lawmakers say the timing of some of the bets is questionable, prompting calls for legislation to address potential insider trading in prediction markets.
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Kalsi proposed an event contract for NASA to land a man on the moon, with a probability of 63% by 2030 and 41% by 2029.
The company plans to mine Bitcoin from Earth orbit
In March, NVIDIA-backed orbital data center company StarCloud announced plans to mine Bitcoin (BTC) from space after launching a spacecraft into Earth orbit. The plan will utilize solar panels and application-specific integrated circuit (ASIC) miners at the orbiting data center, CEO Philip Johnston said in an interview.
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