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Home » Grayscale predicts US crypto activity to be 15-20% before midterm elections
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Grayscale predicts US crypto activity to be 15-20% before midterm elections

Vickie HelmBy Vickie HelmOctober 29, 2026No Comments3 Mins Read
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Grayscale predicts US crypto activity to be 15 20% before midterm
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Grayscale recently published a report that posits the United States accounts for approximately 15-20% of global cryptocurrency activity. According to their analysis, this adoption of digital assets is expected to progress irrespective of political shifts, including the upcoming midterm elections.

US Dominance in Cryptocurrency Infrastructure

As outlined in Grayscale’s report, the United States holds a significant position in the cryptocurrency landscape, particularly in terms of infrastructure. Currently, the US contributes an estimated 36% of the global Bitcoin hashrate while holding 31% of Ethereum’s full node share. However, it is important to note that the US’s share in payment activities, transactions, and wallet usage is comparatively lower than its mining and network infrastructure contributions.

Overview of Cryptocurrency Activity in the US

The Grayscale report, authored by research director Zach Pandl and released on October 28, provides a comprehensive overview of various indicators related to crypto usage. These indicators encompass measurements of infrastructure, transaction values, user activity, and ownership across the cryptocurrency spectrum. Here are some of the key statistics:

  • Bitcoin mining represents the highest percentage, with the US providing 36% of the global hashrate.
  • The US accounts for 26% of the total on-chain transaction value.
  • In the realm of stablecoin payments, the US share stands at 24%, with merchant payment transactions at 22%.
  • Protocol website visitors from the US account for 14% of global traffic.

In contrast, metrics related to ownership show lower figures; both crypto holders and stablecoin holders are at 13%, while mobile wallet users account for just 12%.

Measuring the US’s Cryptocurrency Activity

The estimate of the US’s share at 15-20% is derived from a combination of various measurements. As stated in Grayscale’s graph, the report highlights a median US share of 16% and an average of 19%, which supports the 15-20% claims. The data collected spans across different reporting periods and geographies, indicating a comprehensive approach to the analysis.

Insights from the Cambridge Mining Survey

In contrast to Grayscale’s findings, a study conducted by Cambridge, published in 2025, revealed that 75.4% of the mining activity surveyed originated in the United States, with Canadian operations at 7.1%. This survey involved 49 mining companies across 23 countries and represented approximately 48% of Bitcoin’s network hashrate at that time. However, Cambridge cautions that this concentration could potentially exaggerate the US’s actual control over Bitcoin mining, as the statistics reflect only the activity captured in their study.

Political Climate and the Future of Crypto Regulations

As Grayscale suggests, ongoing bipartisan support around cryptocurrency is expected to foster continued adoption. Their analysis points towards polling data that indicate both Republican and Democratic uses of cryptocurrency, alongside backing for legislative bills within Congress aimed at streamlining crypto regulations.

Several regulatory developments are underway in Washington leading up to the elections. For instance, new rules from the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) were finalized on October 21, which will come into effect on January 18, 2027. This framework addresses critical aspects such as reserves, risk management, and oversight related to cryptocurrencies. Moreover, a proposal revealed by the Federal Reserve on September 24 is focused on facilitating the application from state banks to issue stablecoins.

Conclusion

Overall, Grayscale’s report underscores a significant US presence in the global cryptocurrency market, particularly in mining and infrastructure. The share of global crypto activity attributed to the US, while indicating both strength and areas in need of growth, highlights the ongoing evolution of digital asset adoption against a backdrop of changing regulatory landscapes.

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Vickie Helm

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