In a significant development, Russia has gathered a substantial force of “tens of thousands of troops” in an effort to reclaim the Kursk region recently taken by Ukraine, as reported by Ukraine’s military leadership.
On Monday, President Oleksandr Shirskiy stated that Russian forces are actively trying to “eliminate our troops and push further into the territory we control” in the Kursk area. Since a surprising offensive in August, Ukrainian forces have occupied large parts of Kursk, shifting the dynamics of a conflict that has persisted for over two years.
This buildup of troops coincides with intensified drone warfare between Ukraine and Russia, which has reportedly resulted in eight fatalities on the Ukrainian side. Additionally, the political landscape is shifting with President-elect Donald Trump’s upcoming arrival, which could alter the United States’ stance on the conflict. The Kremlin has refuted claims that Trump had a meeting with Russian leader Vladimir Putin on this matter.
For weeks, Ukraine and its allies have anticipated a counterstrike in Kursk, amid reports from the Kremlin that thousands of North Korean soldiers are among the forces positioned there.
President Shirskiy emphasized the strategic importance of the area, underscoring that the concentration of enemy forces in the region cannot be overlooked. He praised the resilience of Ukrainian soldiers, asserting that their courage and determination have kept many of Russia’s elite troops from making gains elsewhere on the battlefield.
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy claimed in September that Ukrainian forces successfully seized around 500 square miles of territory from Russia. However, progress has slowed in recent months as President Putin has committed to preventing Ukrainian forces from advancing further.
Initially, Russia struggled to respond to the incursion, revealing limitations in its resources following its first infiltration of its territory since the Second World War.
Last week, President Zelenskyy noted that approximately 11,000 North Korean troops are present in the border region and are engaged in combat against Ukrainian forces, resulting in casualties on both sides.
The Pentagon has confirmed that around 10,000 North Korean soldiers have been deployed to Russia for training and are believed to be actively involved in the conflict, which has raised concerns among the U.S. and its allies about deepening ties between Russia and North Korea.
As hostilities continue, Ukraine is also contemplating potential changes in its political landscape following the election of a new American president who has indicated a readiness to mediate the conflict. Trump has claimed he could bring an end to Russia’s aggression before assuming office, praising Putin while criticizing Zelenskiy for the ongoing war.
Recent reports suggest that technology entrepreneur Elon Musk was briefly a part of a phone call between Trump and Zelensky last Wednesday, with Zelenskiy describing the discussion as “excellent.”
Meanwhile, Dmitry Peskov, a spokesperson for the Kremlin, denied reports of any conversation between Trump and Putin, labeling it as “pure fiction and misinformation.”
The battle over Kursk signifies a troubling escalation after a weekend marked by reciprocal drone attacks between the two nations.
Ukrainian officials reported that heavy artillery strikes by Russia between Sunday and Monday resulted in eight civilian deaths, including five individuals in the southern city of Mykolaiv, alongside casualties in the Kherson, Donetsk, and Sumy regions.
Ukraine launched its most significant drone assault on Moscow since the start of the full-scale invasion in 2022, which injured one person and diverted flights from three major airports amidst a wave of 145 Russian drones targeting Ukraine.
Ukrainian authorities also reported injuries and property damage from a Russian drone assault in Odesa. President Zelenskyy highlighted that the conflict has cost Ukraine an estimated $800 billion.
Mykhailo Sams, a military analyst from Ukraine, noted that Putin appears eager to regain control of the Kursk area in anticipation of potential negotiations involving Trump and Zelenskyy.
“If we’re considering discussions on halting the war or negotiating a ceasefire, the Kursk region could serve as a significant bargaining chip for President Zelenskyy,” he remarked in a phone interview.
“It will be challenging for President Putin to justify to the Russian populace and elite how he might negotiate over Russian territory with American leaders. Thus, the upcoming week promises to be highly contentious,” he added.
Christopher Tuck, a security expert from King’s College London, concurred with Sams, highlighting that North Korea’s military involvement is enhancing Russia’s offensive capabilities.
“The presence of North Korean forces is instrumental in facilitating this renewed assault, especially given their ability to supply the artillery needed for Russia’s current military strategies,” he concluded.
“It remains uncertain how long they will maintain their military effectiveness.”