Scott Bessent, the founder and CEO of Key Square Group LP, speaking during an interview in Washington, DC on June 7, 2024.
Stephanie Reynolds | Bloomberg | Getty Images
The U.S. stock market seems optimistic about President-elect Donald Trump’s intent to nominate Scott Bessent for the Treasury Secretary role. In a conversation with CNBC earlier this month, Trump shared his belief in a forthcoming era marked by robust growth and minimal inflation.
After Trump’s announcement on Friday about choosing the respected Wall Street figure Bessent for the critical economic position, stock market futures climbed while U.S. Treasury yields dropped on Monday morning.
This decision signals that President Trump is aiming for a candidate who resonates with market expectations and shares a compatible economic philosophy.
Evercore’s Sara Bianchi commented on this selection, stating, “This should please investors, as Mr. Bessent possesses profound expertise in financial markets and economics, essential for garnering support from the bond markets necessary for the Trump administration’s policy initiatives.” Bianchi noted that the market “couldn’t have asked for better” than Bessent.
The markets have experienced fluctuations yet remained predominantly positive following Trump’s election victory, which led to a significant Republican shift in the Senate while preserving a Republican House majority. Bond yields have notably risen, interpreted by some as reflecting expectations for inflation and by others as a sign of anticipated economic growth.
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In a CNBC interview conducted the day after Trump’s election win, Bessent expressed optimism that the new administration’s strategies would work to control inflation while fostering economic growth.
He stated, “One thing he doesn’t want to replicate from the Biden-Harris administration is the current inflationary environment.” Bessent remarked, “Trump has positive ideas, but inflation is the last thing he desires.” He reassured that the bond market was not anxious about a return of inflation under Trump, highlighting a constructive shift towards promoting growth.
While there are concerns among investors about potential tariffs under President Trump that might spur inflation, Bessent addressed these worries, suggesting that tariffs could be “implemented gradually” to prevent unnecessary economic strain. He expressed confidence that the combination of price adjustments and other measures proposed by Trump would lead to inflation rates dropping below the Federal Reserve’s target of 2%.
Strategic Approaches for Economic Challenges
Bessent has advocated for three key strategies to tackle the nation’s escalating debt and budget deficits: achieving a 3% growth rate, shrinking the budget deficit to 3% of GDP (less than half of its current value), and increasing oil production by 3 million barrels per day.
Wall Street’s reaction has been overwhelmingly positive.
“Bessent brings substantial economic and market credibility to the incoming team,” stated Tom Lee, head of research at Fundstrat Global Advisors, who maintains a bullish outlook on the markets.
Lee elaborated, “This reinforces the idea that the new administration aims for a thriving stock market.”
Early feedback indicates that Mr. Bessent, who historically supported Democratic causes before backing Trump in 2016, is likely to face little resistance in the confirmation process.
However, some politicians, including Senator Elizabeth Warren from Massachusetts, criticized Bessent, asserting that his expertise centers on augmenting wealth for investors rather than addressing cost reduction for families. She expressed uncertainty about whether he would shift his focus from Wall Street interests to advocating for American workers.
Nonetheless, Greg Barriere, chief U.S. policy strategist at AGF Investments, predicted that Bessent would encounter a smooth path to confirmation. Barriere also mentioned that Trump is likely to nominate Sen. Marco Rubio for the Secretary of State position, further consolidating a moderate cabinet backed by both parties.
Ed Mills, a policy analyst at Raymond James, emphasized that Bessent could play a crucial balancing role regarding President Trump’s ambitious trade policies alongside Commerce Secretary nominee Howard Lutnick. He concluded that if the administration steers towards growth-oriented policies instead of severe budget cuts, the markets are likely to respond favorably.