Ethereum is currently under scrutiny by analysts, as it remains in a prolonged downward trend. While some experts are predicting a significant price rise, others urge caution and suggest the decline may persist.
Analyst Ali Martinez is feeling optimistic, forecasting that Ethereum may soar to $10,000 in the next bullish market phase.
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Martinez’s assessments often link Ethereum’s performance to broader market trends. He has drawn parallels between Ethereum’s trajectory and that of the S&P 500, hinting that a potential breakout could be on the horizon.
However, contrary views exist. Expert Peter Brandt, recognized for his technical analysis skills and precise forecasts, issued a warning about a formidable bearish pattern emerging in Ethereum’s daily chart.
In his recent commentary, he noted a “bearish flag,” or descending channel, suggesting it signals more downside potential for the cryptocurrency.
Stock Market Correlation
Martinez’s argument relies on the historical correlation between Ethereum (ETH) and the S&P 500 (SPX). He references a comparative study showing both assets reached their lows in late 2022 and have been on an upward trajectory into 2023.
#Ethereum $ETH mimics the S&P500; this could be the last dip before it triples to reach $10,000. pic.twitter.com/BgpbZQXM6I
— Ali (@ali_charts) November 4, 2024
Martinez believes the recent trends of the S&P 500 imply Ethereum could soon follow suit and potentially achieve the sought-after $10,000 mark, especially since the S&P recently dipped slightly after climbing above $5,900.
To reach this ambitious target, Ethereum would need to appreciate approximately 310% from its current price of $2,618, which has seen an 8% rise in the past day.
Martinez maintains a positive outlook given the broader market conditions, recognizing the steep ascent necessary. However, Brandt cautions that Ethereum may face significant challenges ahead, particularly as bearish signals materialize.
Mixed Sentiments
Insights from IntoTheBlock reveal a divided sentiment among Ethereum holders. Around 23% of active addresses currently hold profits, indicating they are in a strong financial position.
This implies some support exists, yet the break-even point suggests market uncertainty persists. The actions of these holders will likely determine whether they accumulate more ETH or divest based on price fluctuations in the weeks ahead.
Are Further Declines Possible?
Brandt has issued warnings regarding the severity of Ethereum’s current bearish trend, suggesting a reversal is unlikely. He recently pointed out ETH’s daily chart indicating a negative outlook with expectations of further declines.
Notably, there was no buy signal for $ETH. The chart remains in a bearish mode at 1551, unable to meet targets. pic.twitter.com/sjkXyTQXU2
— Peter Brandt (@PeterLBrandt) October 31, 2024
On October 31st, Brandt highlighted the persistent bearish trends evident in Ethereum’s charts since August, describing this as a continuous downward trajectory.
Brandt detected no buy signals or switches in momentum for Ethereum. His pessimistic outlook contrasts sharply with those expecting a prospective rise in price. With no signs of reversal on the chart, he suggests Ethereum’s pricing may dip below the current support level.
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Conflicting Views
While Martinez and Brandt’s opinions are at odds, both analyses underline the unpredictable nature of Ethereum’s near future. Martinez advocates for a potential surge to $10,000, aligning ETH’s performance with that of the S&P 500.
Conversely, Brandt provides a stark cautionary note, hinting at the possibility of ongoing downward pressure in the market.
Featured images credited to DALL-E, with charts sourced from TradingView.